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Argo Data Show 16-year Ocean Warming Trend |
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John Lyman, an oceanographer at NOAA's
Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, led an
international team of scientists that analyzed nine different estimates
of heat content in the upper ocean from 1993 to 2008. The Argo profile
data were used to calibrate the older data and show that the warming
signal can be discerned as six times larger than noise estimates. The
researchers claim the warming of 0.16 degree C, is 80% of the excess
heat captured by greenhouse gas effect in the past 16 years. It may not
sound like much, but due to the high heat capacity of water and the
vast size of the ocean it corresponds the amount of heat from
"Five-hundred 100-watt light bulbs per person on earth burning
continuously - that would be the trend we've seen over the last 16 years
just being sucked up by the ocean." (J. Lyman).....
Read more on NOAA News or Radio Australia and Comments in Nature.
Kevin
E. Trenberth reports in Nature that "The warming ocean is revealed by
changes in heat content from 1993 to 2008, shown by the black line with
error bars, as constructed by Lyman et al.1. This analysis
samples the ocean to 700 m depth and gives an average warming trend of
0.64 W m−2 (red line). The
data available from Argo floats since 2003 enable an estimate to 2,000 m
depth (blue line)8 to be made. The
differences between the black and blue plots after 2003 suggest that
there has been significant warming below 700 m, and that rates of
warming have slowed in recent years. Processing of the two data sets is
not compatible, however, so firm conclusions cannot yet be drawn by
comparing them."
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